Research

Published Articles

Articles under Review

  • Amy Guisinger and Julie K Smith, “News vs. Noise: What Information is Contained in the Revisions of the JOLTS Data?” under review, Journal of Macroeconomics

Works in Progress

  • Ed Gamber, Julie K. Smith and Yelena Takhtamanova, ““Bank Supervision and Regulation Practices and Macroeconomic Outcomes”
  • Amy Guisinger, Chris Ruebeck and Julie K Smith,“Inequality and the Central Bank”

Invited Presentations

  • “Estimating the Natural Rate of Unemployment: Evaluating Estimates from forecasting inflation” Research Program in Forecasting Brown Bag Seminar, Washington DC, December 2015.
  • “Estimating the Natural Rate of Unemployment: Evaluating Estimates from forecasting inflation” Economics Department, Texas A&M University, October 2015.
  • “Inflation forecasts and core inflation measures: Where is the information on future inflation?” Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland May 2013.
  • “Inflation Persistence: Revisited” Oberlin College, April 2012.
  • “PCEPI and CPI Inflation Links” Lehigh University, September 2009.
  • “PCEPI and CPI Inflation Links” Five-College Seminar Series, Amherst College, March 2009.
  • “Has the Fed’s Forecasting Advantage Eroded?” Research Program in Forecasting Brown Bag Seminar, Washington DC, November 2007.
  • “Has the Fed’s Forecasting Advantage Eroded?” Midwest Econometrics Meetings, St. Louis, October 2007.
  • “Better Measures of Core Inflation?” Price Measurement Conference, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas, Dallas, May 2007.
  • “Inflation, Inflation Expectations and Core Inflation,” Economics Department, University of Richmond, October 2006.
  • “Inflation, Inflation Expectations and Core Inflation,” Economics Department, Texas A&M University, October 2006.
  • “Inflation Targeting and Core Inflation,” formerly “Monetary Regimes and Core Inflation,” The Johns Hopkins University, November 2004.
  • “Inflation Targeting and Core Inflation,” formerly “Monetary Regimes and Core Inflation,” Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, November 2004.
  • “Monetary Regimes and Core Inflation,” Bank of England, Monetary, Monetary Assessment and Strategy Division, May 2004.
  • “Monetary Regimes and Core Inflation,” Federal Reserve Bank of New York, Domestic Research Function, April 2004.
  • “Monetary Regimes and Core Inflation,” ZEI Summer School, Bad Honnef, Germany, July 2003.

 Presentations

  • “Minimum Wages and the Health of Hispanic Women” Southern Economic Association meetings, Washington DC, November 2016
  • “Monetary Policy and the Yield Curve,” Southern Economic Association meetings, Washington DC, November 2016
  • “Behind Every High Earning Man is a Conscientious Woman,” Southern Economic Association meetings, Washington DC, November 2016
  • “The Distribution of Inflation Forecast Errors,” Joint Statistical Meetings, Seattle, August 2015
  • “Estimating the Natural Rate of Unemployment: Developing Estimates from forecasting inflation,” International Atlantic Economic Society meetings, October 2014
  • “The Distribution of Inflation Forecast Errors” at Society of Economic Measurement Inaugural Conference, Chicago, August 2014
  • “Bank Supervision and Regulation Practices and Macroeconomic Outcomes” at Western Economic Association meetings, Denver, June 2014
  • “The Distribution of Inflation Forecast Errors” at Southern Economic Association meetings, Tampa, August 2014
  • “The College Fed Challenge: An Innovation in Cooperative Learning” at NY State Economic Association meetings, October 2013.
  • “Inflation Persistence: Revisited” at Western Economic Association meetings, San Francisco, July 2012.
  • “Inflation Persistence: Revisited” at Eastern Economic Association meetings, Boston, March 2012.
  • “The College Fed Challenge: An Innovation in Cooperative Learning” at Southern Economic Association meetings, Washington DC, November 2011.
  • “The Dynamic Relationship between Core and Headline Inflation” Workshop in Macroeconomic Research at Liberal Arts Colleges, August 2011.
  • “PCEPI and CPI Inflation Links” Eastern Economic Association Meetings, Philadelphia, February 2010.
  • “PCEPI and CPI Inflation Links” Southern Economic Association Meetings, San Antonio, November 2009.
  • “Where is the Fed (in the distribution of forecast errors)?”  Workshop in Macroeconomic Research in Liberal Arts Colleges, August 2009.
  • “Inflation, Inflation Expectations and Core Inflation,” Eastern Economic Association Meetings, New York, February 2009
  •  “Better Measures of Core Inflation?” Southern Economic Association Meetings, Charleston, November 2006.
  • “Inflation, Inflation Expectations and Core Inflation,” Southern Economic Association Meetings, Charleston, November 2006.
  • “Inflation, Inflation Expectations and Core Inflation,” Workshop in Macroeconomic Research in Liberal Arts Colleges, Vassar College, August 2006
  • “PCE Inflation and Core Inflation,” Western Economic Association Meetings, San Diego, July 2006.
  • “PCE Inflation and Core Inflation,” Eastern Economic Association Meetings, Philadelphia, February 2006.
  • “Oil Price Shocks: Revisited,” Western Economic Association Meetings, Vancouver, July 2004.
  • “Oil Price Shocks: Revisited,” Southern Economic Association Meetings, San Antonio, TX, November 2003.
  • “Explaining the Variation in the Costs of Reducing Inflation on the Assumption of Adaptive Expectations,” Southern Economic Association Meetings, San Antonio, TX, November 2003.
  • “Monetary Regimes and Core Inflation,” American Economic Association Meetings, Washington DC, January 2003.
  • “Better Measures of Core Inflation?” Southern Economics Association Meetings, New Orleans, November 2002.
  • “Monetary Regimes and Core Inflation,” Western Economic Association Meetings, Seattle, July 2002.

 

Other Scholarly Activity

  • Referee, Applied Economics, BE Press Journal of Macroeconomics, Eastern Economic Journal, Economic Inquiry, Empirical Economics, The Energy Journal, Economics Letters, German Economic Review, International Finance, International Journal of Central Banking, International Journal of Forecasting, Journal of Business and Economic Statistics, Journal of Economic Education, Journal of Macroeconomics, Journal of Monetary Economics, Journal of Monetary Economics and Finance, Journal ofMoney, Credit and Banking, and Macroeconomic Dynamics
  • Member, Research Program on Forecasting, Department of Economics and the Center for Economic Research at The George Washington University.
  • Facilitator, Associated Colleges of the South Teaching and Learning Workshop, June 2004.
  • Visiting Lecturer, Tecnologico de Monterrey (Monterrey Tec), Monterrey, Mexico, March 2004.
  • Participant, CSWEP CeMENT mentoring workshop, San Diego, CA, January 2004.
  • Participant, ZEI Summer School, University of Bonn, Bad Honnef, Germany, July 2003.  Lecturers:  Carl Walsh and Dale Henderson.
  • Visiting Scholar, IMF Institute, International Monetary Fund, Washington, DC, June 2003.
  • Participant, Associated Colleges of the South Teaching and Learning Workshop, June 2003.

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