Research

Publications
Guisinger, A. Y., Owyang, M. T., & Soques, D. (2021). Industrial Connectedness and Business Cycle Comovements. Econometrics and Statistics. (forthcoming)

Guisinger, A. (2020). Gender Differences in the Volatility of Work Hours and Labor Demand. Journal of Macroeconomics, Vol. 66. https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/abs/pii/S0164070420301798

Guisinger, A., Owyang, M. T., & Shell, H. G. (2019). Economic Forecasting: Comparing the Fed with the Private Sector. Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Regional Economist, Third Quarter 2019. https://www.stlouisfed.org/publications/regional-economist/third-quarter-2019/economic-forecasting-comparing-fed-private-sector

Guisinger, A., Owyang, M. T., & Shell, H. G. (2018). Comparing measures of potential output. Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Review, Fourth Quarter 2018, pp. 297-316. https://research.stlouisfed.org/publications/review/2018/08/13/comparing-measures-of-potential-output

Gallemore, C., Guisinger, A., Kruuse, M., Ruysschaert, D., & Jespersen, K. (2018). Escaping the “Teenage” Years: The Politics of Rigor and the Evolution of Private Environmental Standards. Ecological Economics, 152, 76-87.  https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0921800917313873

Guisinger, A. Y., Hernandez-Murillo, R., Owyang, M. T., & Sinclair, T. M. (2018). A state-level analysis of Okun’s law. Regional Science and Urban Economics, 68, 239-248. https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0166046217300327

Guisinger, A. Y., & Sinclair, T. M. (2014). Okun’s Law in real time. International Journal of Forecastinghttp://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0169207014000351

Working Papers
“News vs. Noise: what information is contained in the revisions of the JOLTS data?” joint with Julie Smith (Lafayette College)
“Gender Composition and Unemployment Dynamics,” joint with Tara M. Sinclair (GWU)
Work in Progress

“`Revisiting the Fed’s Forecasting Advantage,” joint with Michael W. McCracken (St. Louis Fed) and Michael T. Owyang (St. Louis Fed)
“Inequality and the Central Bank,” joint with Christopher S. Ruebeck (Lafayette College) and Julie K. Smith (Lafayette College)
“Gender and Economic Growth,” joint with Kristina Sargent (Middlebury College)