Research

Publications
Guisinger, A. Y., McCracken, M. W., & Owyang, M. T. (2024). Revisiting the Fed’s Forecasting Advantage. Journal of Money, Credit and Banking. http://doi.org/10.1111/jmcb.13155
Guisinger, A. Y., Jackson, L. E., & Owyang, M. T. (2023). Age and Gender Differentials in Unemployment and Hysteresis. Studies in Nonlinear Dynamics & Econometrics. https://doi.org/10.1515/snde-2022-0068
Guisinger, A. Y., Owyang, M. T., & Soques, D. (2021). Industrial Connectedness and Business Cycle Comovements. Econometrics and Statistics.

Guisinger, A. Y. & Smith, J. K. (2021). News vs. Noise: What Information is Contained in the Revisions of the JOLTS Data?, Econmodels.com

Guisinger, A. Y. (2020). Gender Differences in the Volatility of Work Hours and Labor Demand. Journal of Macroeconomics, Vol. 66. https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/abs/pii/S0164070420301798

Guisinger, A. Y., Owyang, M. T., & Shell, H. G. (2019). Economic Forecasting: Comparing the Fed with the Private Sector. Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Regional Economist, Third Quarter 2019. https://www.stlouisfed.org/publications/regional-economist/third-quarter-2019/economic-forecasting-comparing-fed-private-sector

Guisinger, A. Y., Owyang, M. T., & Shell, H. G. (2018). Comparing measures of potential output. Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Review, Fourth Quarter 2018, pp. 297-316. https://research.stlouisfed.org/publications/review/2018/08/13/comparing-measures-of-potential-output

Gallemore, C., Guisinger, A. Y., Kruuse, M., Ruysschaert, D., & Jespersen, K. (2018). Escaping the “Teenage” Years: The Politics of Rigor and the Evolution of Private Environmental Standards. Ecological Economics, 152, 76-87.  https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0921800917313873

Guisinger, A. Y., Hernandez-Murillo, R., Owyang, M. T., & Sinclair, T. M. (2018). A state-level analysis of Okun’s law. Regional Science and Urban Economics, 68, 239-248. https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0166046217300327

Guisinger, A. Y., & Sinclair, T. M. (2014). Okun’s Law in real time. International Journal of Forecastinghttp://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0169207014000351

Work in Progress

“How Important is Knowledge of the Fed’s Conditioning Path?” joint with Michael W. McCracken and Michael T. Owyang (Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis)
“Inequality and the Central Bank,” joint with Christopher S. Ruebeck (Lafayette College) and Julie K. Smith (Lafayette College)
“Gender and Economic Growth,” joint with Kristina Sargent (Middlebury College)
“Beyond the Textbook: Incorporating Current Events in a Student-Driven Framework”